SEOUL (Reuters) - Oil prices rebounded to $58 on Thursday after fuel stocks in the United States were cut by freezing weather and as buyers reemerged following a 2 percent sell-off the previous day.
U.S. crude oil futures
Analysts say the drop in inventory levels was not significant enough to push up oil prices beyond $60, leading to profit-taking after a nearly 20 percent climb since mid-January. The market was still supported by cold weather in the major heating oil consuming regions of the U.S. Midwest and Northeast, which cut distillate fuel stocks by 3.7 million barrels last week, the biggest distillate decline since October.
"The drop was larger-than-expected but it wasn't enough to move up prices as there is a psychological resistance against the $60-level," said J.J. Kim, analyst at Korea Investment and Securities.
Prices have recovered from a dip below $50 in mid-January as unusually warm winter weather turned into a cold spell hitting the key heating oil markets in the world's top oil consumer.
U.S. crude supplies fell by 400,000 barrels, against a forecast rise of 1.4 million barrels, while gasoline rose by an unexpected 2.6 million barrels, the data showed.
QUOTES OF THE DAY
-->"YOU CAN'T PRODUCE A BABY IN ONE MONTH BY GETTING NINE WOMEN PREGNANT."
-->"IT IS NOT IMPORTANT TO FIGURE OUT WHAT THE MARKET WILL DO. IT IS ALWAYS IMPORTANT TO FIGURE OUT WHAT YOU WILL DO" .....RAJASEKHAR IYER
-->"SHORT TERM PLEASURE OF BOOKING PROFITS IS DETRIMENTAL TO CREATION OF WEALTH.".........NAWIN SINHA
Thursday, February 8, 2007
LONDON (Reuters) - Copper prices slipped on Wednesday as a rise in stocks reignited worries about a surplus this year, while tin prices fell on expectations of rising supplies and nickel was hit by profit taking, traders said.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was untraded in official rings, but was quoted down at $5,380/5,381 a tonne from Tuesday's $5,475 close.
Copper prices are down around 15 percent since the beginning of the year on expectations that demand would slow alongside global economic growth, with the market moving into a surplus of around 200,000 tonnes.
Prices are down nearly 40 percent since copper hit a record high of $8,800 last May.
"The second half of 2005 and the first half of 2006 in particular was a period of very strong, synchronised world growth," said David Thurtell, analyst at BNP Paribas.
"That is not going to happen this year. Chances of supply disruptions are lower and there is an expansion of capacity."
Stocks of copper in LME warehouses rose 3,175 tonnes to 215,750 tonnes on Wednesday. They have doubled in the past 12 months and are about eight times higher than in July 2005.
Copper fell to 10-month lows of $5,250 last Friday after the Wall Street Journal reported $1.5 billion hedge fund Red Kite had lost 20 percent and wanted to extend the redemption notice period for investors to 45 days from 15.
Traders said the sell-off was triggered by worries that Red Kite would have to sell its holdings of copper and other metals to meet redemptions.
SUBSTITUTION
Aluminium traded at $2,655 a tonne from $2,712. Earlier it hit $2,639.75, matching the January 17 low.
Market focus had been on the maturity of options to buy and sell three-month aluminium futures at between $2,750 and $2,800.
Traders said offers at $2,710 had kept a lid on prices and the expiry had passed without any fireworks.
"It failed to get through $2,710 and we saw a sell-off after that," a LME trader said. "It then broke through support at $2,690 and hasn't looked back since."
Aluminium trading has been lacklustre in recent days and dealers expect fund selling will cap prices over coming days.
"Funds are betting that the aluminium surplus in China find its way to other countries," the trader said.
Nickel was bid at $35,350 from $35,800 on Tuesday.
Stocks at around 3,000 tonnes, the lowest since 1991, and expectations of continuing strong demand pushed nickel prices up to a record high of $38,950 on January 26.
Since then profit-taking and talk of substitution in the steel industry has sobered up the market.
"The issue of nickel substitution by stainless steel mills which comprise the major end-user demand sector for nickel is a key factor for future price direction," Barclays Capital said in a research note.
Tin was untraded, but bid lower at $11,775 a tonne from $11,925.
Sentiment was weighed by news that Indonesia, the world's second-largest tin producer, had allowed five small smelters to resume refined tin production after a recent crackdown on unregulated mining.
Shares in London-listed BHP Billiton were up more than four percent after the company posted a 41 percent jump in first-half profits and set aside $10 billion for share buybacks.
Zinc traded down at $3,120 from $3,220 on Tuesday and lead at $1,550 from $1,570.
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